COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF SIMPLE MODELS OF DRYING OF THE LAYER OF FOREST COMBUSTIBLES, INCLUDING THE DATA OF EXPERIMENTS AND NATURAL OBSERVATIONSA. M. Grishin and N. V. Baranovskii UDC 536.24 A comparative analysis of different simple models of drying of forest combustibles is considered. Results of the comparison of numerical calculations with experimental data and the data of natural observations are presented and discussed. A conclusion is drawn on the possibility of using simple mathematical models of drying the layer of forest combustibles in a new system of prediction of forest-fire hazard. Tomsk State University, 36 Lenin Ave., Tomsk, 634050, Russia; email: firstname.lastname@example.org. Translated from Inzhenerno-Fizicheskii Zhurnal, Vol. 76, No. 5, pp. 166-169, September-October, 2003. Original article submitted March 17, 2003.