A MODEL OF PREDICTION OF FOREST-FIRE HAZARDA. M. Grishin and A. I. Fil'kov UDC 510.6:683.3:532.5.013 A rather simple and physically substantiated deterministic-probabilistic expert system of prediction of forest-fire hazard, which can be used in practice, is suggested. Results of the calculation by the verified model of drying of forest combustibles, which allows for partial pressure of water vapor, are compared with results obtained by different models and experimental data. Tomsk State University, 36 Lenin Ave., Tomsk, 634050, Russia; email: email@example.com. Translated from Inzhenerno-Fizicheskii Zhurnal, Vol. 76, No. 5, pp. 154-158, September-October, 2003. Original article submitted January 14, 2003; revision submitted April 4, 2003.